Filtri

L’occidente sta davvero esaurendo le scorte di missili?

I principali media statunitensi denunciano il progressivo esaurimento delle scorte militari del Paese, in particolare di intercettori avanzati per la difesa e missili di precisione a lungo raggio, conseguenza del prolungato conflitto con l’Iran. Sul fronte ucraino, il Paese subisce attacchi aerei russi su vasta scala quasi ogni giorno e la scarsità di intercettori di […]

Too much of a good thing

Sometimes the scoreline lies. Yesterday’s Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter ended in a narrow, almost respectable 1-0 defeat for my beloved team. The kind of result that, taken at face value, suggests a tight, competitive affair. Dig into the underlying numbers, however, and a far less flattering picture emerges: 31 shots, 7 on […]

Cycles that don’t come home

Last week, in Sticky Rates Despite Slippery Growth, we flagged a puzzle: US data was turning noticeably gentler (weak July payrolls print, in-line and reassuring CPI, and a surprise drop in July retail sales), yet the 10y Treasury yield refused to budge from its highs. If anything, the picture has grown more stubborn since. The […]

Sticky rates despite slippery growth

Three weeks ago, in Beware of Certainties (27 July), we flagged how hard it had become to hold tactical convictions on rates, with investors pricing in two Fed hikes before year-end on the back of persistent inflation concerns with hardly anyone contemplating a hard landing. Since then, the data flow has told a more nuanced […]

L’AI potrebbe rivoluzionare lo sviluppo dei farmaci?

Nel caso dei mercati finanziari, come nella società in generale, l’IA è il tema di massima attualità. Le promesse di questa tecnologia sono certamente enormi e il suo impatto sui modelli di business aziendali sta già iniziando a concretizzarsi in diversi settori. E per quanto riguarda le bioscienze? L’IA può accelerare il processo di scoperta […]

Beware of certainties

It’s currently hard to hold tactical convictions on markets, given the many uncertainties related to (1) the gyrations of the US-Iran war, which influence the trajectory of energy prices and, by ripple effect, the stance of monetary policy, and (2) the AI theme dominating headlines, driving dispersion within the IT sector and concentrating risk. In […]