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Cowabunga

After the Barbie movie, it’s time for the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles to hit the big screen with their “Cowabunga” rallying cry, which by the way may also mean astonishment or stupor; has been adopted by surfers as a declaration of enthusiasm or exhilaration; or can be used for a battle cry. So, in the […]

Hop Schweiz!

On the eve of the Swiss national holiday, and after devoting my last week letter to the merits and, more importantly, the setbacks of the major economies and their currencies, it seemed obvious that we should take a closer look at Switzerland, its economy, its currency and its market. I received indeed many questions lately […]

In May, do what you like!

1st of May… should your humble servitor work and deliver its weekly letter? The Labor Day is an annual holiday in most countries with several markets being closed today, Switzerland included. But here in Geneva, we are working while the public sector enjoyed a day off despite the current left government has just lost its […]

The calm before the storm

Markets have gone nowhere over the last few days, with equity indices, long rates and major forex crosses experiencing contained daily variations and an overall sideways trading after a strong start of the year for both equity and bond investors. That’s certainly a symptom of a lack of conviction among them about what comes next […]

Small is insightful

There are several signs that the most acute part of the US banking turmoil may be behind us: markets have rebounded, the VIX is back to its lowest level since January 2022 (17.1), the amount of bank lending from the Fed emergency lending facilities has declined, US bank deposits are increasing again after weeks of […]

Stuck in the middle… with TATA

It hasn’t really been a love affair on markets since the release of the US CPI on the Saint-Valentine’s day, which was then followed by stronger than expected activity indicators. As we were suspecting last week, better than expected US activity data have pushed long rates higher, while sticky inflation has forced some investment banks […]

10 predictions for 2023 (part 1)

Happy New Year and Best Wishes for a healthy and investment successful 2023! I suspect that experiencing a boring year will already do most of the trick. As we start a new year, I have polished my crystal ball in order to make 10 predictions that could shape financial markets and portfolio returns in 2023. […]